Swap Market Data Show BoC December Rate Hike Odds Fall to ~32% from 40% Ahead of Jobs Report
Swap market data show the probability of a Bank of Canada rate hike in December has declined to about 32%, down from 40% before the latest employment data release.
VolFlash analysis
🔒 Direction
Magnitude ●●●○○
Horizon Days
VolFlash engine · 12808ms
BoC December hike probability drops to ~32%
- Swap-implied BoC Dec hike probability fell from 40% to ~32%
| Asset | Bias | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| No direct listed exposure identified — we do not map to an instrument when none is publicly tradable. | ||
🔒 2 more key points, asset bias and rationale are members-only · Unlock full analysis
Watchlist
- Canada 10-year bond yield
- USD/CAD exchange rate
- S&P/TSX Composite Index
What could invalidate this view
The invalidation conditions are members-only — knowing what would prove this wrong matters as much as the call itself. Unlock full analysis
Public information plus VolFlash reasoning. Not investment advice; no price targets.
One email a day — don't miss the big ones
The 8 highest-severity events of the past 24h, with our read and source links. Unsubscribe anytime.
Related events
11-05 12:08
Traders Boost Bets on BoE Rate Hike; December Probability Rises to 50%
🔒
11-06 07:54
BoE Governor Bailey: Rate Hike Possible If Energy Prices Stay High; Private-Sect
🔒
11-04 16:20
Democrats seize U.S. Senate, erecting new barrier to Trump’s Fed overhaul
🔒
11-05 21:18
Mexico's Rate Cut, U.S. Midterms Weigh on LatAm Assets; Paraguay's Plunge
🔒
Published:2026-11-06 13:54:47 · Source:wallstcn · Automatically aggregated and analysed — verify against the original source.